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Colorado Social Legislative Committee Meeting September 28, 2015 at First Baptist Church – Elizabeth Garner, Colorado State Demographer “How Is Colorado Changing?”

September 28, 2015


Elizabeth Garner, Colorado State Demographer

“How Is Colorado Changing?


Annual ELECTION of Officers for 2016


Colorado Social Legislative Committee  Meets Mondays during the legislative session  –   January through May  180 days

Noon – 1:15

Betty Proctor 

Betty Boyd

Colorado Center on Law and Policy


The room is filled to the maximum.



we moved up to the sanctuary.


Population and Economic Trends for Colorado


Department of Local Affairs

318 million AMERICA  2.3 million  increase .7%

5, 355,000  twice as fast as the US

ranked 4th

83,000  1 county in Texas increased by 83,000

1 Denver increased by 15,000 people

a lot of disparity exists state-wide.


In the 90’s we were growing faster.

net migration to the state is usually younger people.

23 and 37  aged population

65+  population is increasing largely from aging alone  96% increasing at the time.


Denver is from 18 to 35 year ages in terms of new people pouring in to the county.


the older population is not leaving the state  we are a retirement place because people are aging

“we are a sum of our history”


what are the requirements of a younger generation that is coming here and what are their interests and demands on the infrastructure

what brought people to Colorado originally was WORK  opportunity to earn a living

jobs and increased population is interreleated

7.8 million by 2040

1.2 million in the metro region of Denver in this spurt. MOST in Denver Metropolitan   Weld and El Paso will increase by 300,000 people.

driven off the economy   major job growth

race and ethnicity  especially as the youngest ages

income challenges  demographically changing challenges

1970  85% blue  white non hspanic


2010 Latinos 20 %

2040  33%  latinos  55%  white non hispanic  new voters


greatest growth will be in the young


UNDER 18  33% Latino

significant shifts

blue bar white non hispanic

red in every single age group except the 65 year old plus

Spanish dominant speaking  how many

education educational disparity and racial origins


what about the native american populations


educational attainment  is much lower for the income and education of LATINOS

median income 30,000.00 difference exists between whites and all others

getting old fast but we are young 4th oldest

1.3 million is not disproportionate to the rest of the country.


125% increase over the next two decades

public finance

45 – 65 years hirer earning highest property taxes  

fastest growing group will be 65 and older where less spending occurs.  public financing  forecasts for budget short falls

economic dividend is not here

planning for the future is important economy labor force disabilities, finances, health care, end of economic dividend


downward pressure on sales tax, property taxes and all other sources of income.


In the 70’S we were in a similar situation in 1970


for every 100 workers there will be 70 non worlers


lower income have retired  buying services get rid of stuff

spend more of their resources on services

stressors on economy

high end and low end workers  doctors and home health aids

affordable place for people to live

more racially diverse in thje next decades


household types and sizes  are going down in size of household

decline in income over these decades that have passed this is a renter economy for many


AGE is a big indicator of expenditures and income

can we compete for the best and brightest?


40% of labor work force is older people

Things are high priced in Colorado

diverse housing stock to meet all needs FINALLY  

90% peak employment in MESA COUNTY

How will we best consider 


303 864 7750


census does not tract who is illgeally living in the country

younger people are moving to the core of cities throughout the world

death rates in rural areas is rising because people are dying


incarceration rates are they rising still?


Pew Charitable Trust range of undocumented


closer of private prisons


Marijuana  impact of this state:  changes to migration patterns  southern seen growth Costilla County,    South Central  different than before

use by zip code half marijuana sales to people out of state.

affordable housing we have to take a hard look at this issue

any demographics in 70’s a high influence of building housing for low income people.

growth  and reducing of people in urban and suburban populations

a lot of people growing in whole range of places  DENVER is a nexus for all of this influx and speed of growth

in the past urban core was more impoverished and now this is reversed.

education levels types of jobs and companies that are coming to Colorado as in Adams County and Denver at Denver International Airport  150 square acres of develoment of industry and commerce in the Northeast corridor.


the more educated that you are the more likely you are to migrate.


Chaer Robert President  next meeting will be affordable and low-income housing what different member groups are doing 10th or 12th of November

where does this data come from birth and death data from public health and environment and through the census 

GREAT TOOLS web maps  across the country

she works with Mr. Coyle











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